Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.892403 1.121361 1.375789 1.676654 2.019894 2.396581 2.838501
2025-07-27 0.555968 0.841745 1.197478 1.659835 2.232083 2.905011 3.743811
2025-08-03 0.343531 0.637472 1.048596 1.632390 2.407859 3.372551 4.632729
2025-08-10 0.220647 0.507299 0.957070 1.648835 2.624178 3.893425 5.612206
2025-08-17 0.129724 0.385721 0.842245 1.603933 2.740948 4.282825 6.438268
2025-08-24 0.087956 0.331543 0.816020 1.677651 3.019583 4.893765 7.572355
2025-08-31 0.052861 0.268725 0.755820 1.683365 3.191789 5.360686 8.527371
2025-09-07 0.036572 0.241924 0.754757 1.782495 3.506446 6.036015 9.783618
2025-09-14 0.023255 0.211443 0.736789 1.846502 3.766160 6.638936 10.954893
2025-09-21 0.013108 0.178814 0.703554 1.875443 3.967287 7.159829 12.022461
2025-09-28 0.005652 0.141261 0.644783 1.844978 4.064267 7.525118 12.875189
2025-10-05 0.002520 0.119978 0.620295 1.876816 4.264406 8.048831 13.964091
2025-10-12 0.000787 0.099232 0.590398 1.895513 4.446881 8.558816 15.058140
2025-10-19 0.000064 0.074580 0.535473 1.850926 4.513057 8.889564 15.898536
2025-10-26 NaN 0.055089 0.485718 1.808174 4.576848 9.215940 16.738192
2025-11-02 NaN 0.043798 0.460741 1.819077 4.738750 9.702163 17.825686
2025-11-09 NaN 0.030572 0.414415 1.767655 4.776548 9.985788 18.611259
2025-11-16 NaN 0.027156 0.417400 1.844659 5.066900 10.690796 20.050472
2025-11-23 NaN 0.020702 0.395299 1.849853 5.214287 11.161333 21.137763
2025-11-30 NaN 0.019513 0.408387 1.955080 5.566832 11.982570 22.778297
2025-12-07 NaN 0.016939 0.408591 2.023009 5.845848 12.685387 24.245461
2025-12-14 NaN 0.013469 0.396781 2.053690 6.049032 13.263527 25.526938
2025-12-21 NaN 0.008999 0.365969 2.021194 6.117907 13.612853 26.455268